5 picks our skilled loves

Welcome to our weekly PGA Tour gambling-tips column, that includes picks from GOLF.com’s skilled prognosticator Brady Kannon. A seasoned golf bettor and commentator, Kannon is an everyday visitor on SportsGrid, a syndicated audio community dedicated to sports activities and sport betting. You’ll be able to observe on Twitter at @LasVegasGolfer, and you may learn his picks under for the Presidents Cup, which will get underway Thursday in Montreal, Canada.

It was on various events this previous golf season that we referenced gamers probably having further motivational components main into a specific golf match — and in lots of these instances, we had been speaking about desirous to play effectively sufficient to qualify for the Presidents Cup or to catch the attention of their respective workforce captain.

The rosters for each the Worldwide and United States sides had been accomplished through the captain’s picks three weeks in the past and now, right here we’re, prepared for the bi-annual competitors to start at Royal Montreal Golf Membership in Montreal, Canada, the oldest golf course in North America.

Royal Montreal was the location of the 2007 President’s Cup and held the RBC Canadian Open in 2014. Canadian Mike Weir captains the Worldwide facet whereas Jim Furyk does the honors for the U.S. Lots of the gamers we famous all through the season as having a bit one thing additional to play for had been Canadians, desirous to characterize the Worldwide workforce enjoying of their residence nation. Three Canadians are on Weir’s workforce this week: Corey Conners, Mackenzie Hughes, and Taylor Pendrith.

I’ve been desirous to discover a technique to wager the closely Canadian-influenced Worldwide facet for a short while now, with the “residence discipline benefit” feeling prefer it would possibly carry some additional weight this week. However the truth is, I haven’t been in a position to get there. America workforce has every of its 12 gamers rating within the high 25 within the OWGR. The Internationals have solely 4 of its 12 rating as such and possibly the oddsmakers are leaning on the Canadian affect as effectively as a result of, frankly, the -250 value on the USA appears low cost.

This would be the fifteenth version of the Presidents Cup. The U.S. has dominated the competitors, successful the final 9 in a row with an total report of 12-1-1. The golf course is a par 70 that measures slightly below 7,300 yards. Whether or not it’s a Ryder Cup or a Presidents Cup, it appears the American opponent is at all times making an attempt to negate the ability off the tee — a attribute that so many U.S. groups appear to have. I’ve heard that Weir is aiming for the same golf course set-up, one which favors driving accuracy with fairways which can be bordered by very thick, penal tough.

Should you take a look at the leaderboard of the 2014 RBC Canadian Open, Tim Clark was your winner. Jim Furyk was runner-up. Matt Kuchar, Kevin Kisner, and Graeme McDowell additionally completed within the top-10. If that lineup doesn’t scream “driving accuracy” I don’t know what does. The issue for the Internationals right here is you could have Collin Morikawa, Russell Henley, Scottie Scheffler, and Brian Harman on the U.S. facet, all rating inside the highest 20 on Tour in Driving Accuracy. And Furyk’s expertise and success right here in all probability doesn’t damage both. It’s price noting that there was a variety of rain in Montreal not too long ago and the forecast is asking for extra on Wednesday and Thursday. A moist, mushy, golf course will hold extra balls within the fairway and reduce the demand for precision accuracy off the tee.

I’ve narrowed it down to a few ability units that I imagine will finally be an important on this course and that’s Driving Accuracy, Strokes Gained: Strategy (Iron play), and Scrambling. Once more, the USA is fairly dominant over the Internationals in every of those classes. So, how are we going to wager this competitors? I don’t thoughts laying -250 on the U.S. facet however I’m going to see if I can thread the needle a bit and get a greater value.

United States to Win the President’s Cup by 4-6 factors (+340)

With a complete of 30 matches scheduled to happen, this margin of victory wager affords us the chances of 17-13 in favor of the U.S., 18-12, or 17.5 to 12.5 to your successful rating.

Prime United States Scorer: Collin Morikawa (+650)

We’ve been speaking about Morikawa fairly a bit down the stretch of this 2024 golf season as a result of he has actually been the perfect participant on the earth to haven’t recorded a win this yr. If there’s anybody on the U.S. facet that you’d assume could be motivated to make some noise right here, you’ll assume it might be Morikawa. Clearly, Scheffler and Schauffele have completed a lot already this season — Morikawa makes some sense to be one that also has some added starvation for fulfillment this week. He additionally occurs to be second on Tour in Driving Accuracy, tenth in Scrambling, and has gained strokes on the sector on method in practically each match he’s performed going again to April when his season actually took off on the Masters.

Honorable Point out: Sam Burns (+700), as a result of he completed the season enjoying so effectively in his final 4 begins.

Prime Worldwide Scorer: Si Woo Kim (+800)

Hideki Matsuyama is the highest participant on the Worldwide facet and comes off of a latest win in Memphis on the FedEx St. Jude Championship. However I like happening the board a bit additional to a participant wjo may be a greater match for this golf course and will see fairly a little bit of enjoying time. That’s a part of the handicap too: Who’s going to even play in sufficient matches to probably get to the highest spot in factors? This can be Kim’s third Presidents Cup, so Weir is aware of that he has the expertise. General, Kim’s Presidents Cup report is 4-3-0. He ranks thirteenth in Driving Accuracy on Tour, is 18th for SG: Strategy, and twenty second in Scrambling.

Honorable Point out: Taylor Pendrith (+1400), as a result of he has been so good not too long ago all through what has been his best-ever season. He could emerge because the native hero this week.

Gamers to fade: Mackenzie Hughes, Wyndham Clark, Min Woo Lee. Exterior of McKenzie Hughes’ quick sport (Scrambling) these gamers rank at or close to the underside in our key statistics this week.