| 12:13 |
: Good morning from Tempe. COVID wrecked your boy’s thanksgiving however I’m good to go to winter conferences. My cat got here residence with dilated pupils final night time and the opposite one couldn’t cease smelling him. I’ve no different life updates.
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| 12:14 |
: Fast scouting report on Cobb Hightower? Do you assume he’s a prime 5 Padres prospect?
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| 12:16 |
: Hightower was an $850k or so HS signee from North Carolina. Good hitting fingers, can actually time and swuare a fasball, on time sufficient to drag, athletic construct, didn’t get an intensive take a look at him taking part in protection as a result of he wasn’t on the showcase circuit a lot and I didn’t see SD instructs….
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| 12:16 |
: High 5? Perhaps. I’d positively take Salas, De Vries, Mayfield, Cruz forward of him however I can’t consider anybody off the very prime of my head. Pena is nice, I’d in all probability take him, too.
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| 12:17 |
: Assuming he comes again wanting the identical post-surgery, what are the chances Farmelo vaults up the High 100 into elite territory?
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| 12:18 |
: Uhh I’d guess of any of the blokes like him and Alfredo Duno the place the instruments are so nutty bu there’s danger for no matter motive that the “hit it massive” price is like 25%. For each Elly or Oneil or Walcott I really feel like there are three Bleises.
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| 12:18 |
: Is a participant like Gino Groover significantly laborious to challenge on as a consequence of his wrist harm? And, talking of which, how do you challenge his trajectory — a full upcoming season at AA or do you assume there’s sufficient bat there that he might advance extra shortly?
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| 12:20 |
: You simply kinda toss out his exit velos or use 2023 as a solution to give your self higher context for his ’24. I believe it’s superb to take a Bayesian strategy with guys like that and lean closely in your priors. I believe how shortly Gino climbs will likely be dictated extra by their wants than his play. In the event that they don’t re-sign Walker then Del Castillo and Groover could be on the quick monitor. Extra doubtless 2026 for Gino after the departure of Geno, really feel me?
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| 12:20 |
: simply curious when you’ll add the J15 prospects to the worldwide board and what you’re listening to about Bluejays signings both on this upcoming class and future ones, thanks for the chat as all the time!
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| 12:21 |
: Beginning work on turning my notes into Board rows this weekend, ought to be absolutely baked by the holliday
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| 12:22 |
: I truly had Toronto’s pool as being overcommitted, undecided if that’s nonetheless true.
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| 12:24 |
: I’m undecided both of these guys is standing in Endy’s manner if he’s truly hitting. He has expertise at different positions and all three may very well be rostered. As long as he’s simply getting common at-bats after lacking a lot time, that’s superb to begin.
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| 12:25 |
: Hey Eric, was questioning your ideas on the present Marlins farm system.
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| 12:27 |
: I preferred their strategy on the deadline the place they had been getting tons of items again in every deal, however I really feel like I used to be decrease on a bunch of the blokes they acquired. I don’t significantly like Norby, as an example. I’m typically slightly decrease on everybody they acquired again from SD for Arraez. I believe the path their beginner division is headed in is an effective one, based mostly on their ’24 class.
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| 12:27 |
: Now that the autumn league is over, what’s your schedule wanting like when it comes to baseball consumption?
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| 12:27 |
: I devoured Premier12, now am watching the occasional LIDOM sport. Principally my consumption is tape research. I’m watching extra NBA and fewer NHL this yr than final as a result of Ja is again and the Coyotes left.
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| 12:28 |
: Is it cheap to assume that Cole Younger or Colt Emerson might contribute to the Mariners in 2025? Which might you maintain on to if one had been wanted to push a commerce via?
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| 12:29 |
: Younger is in higher place to assist in ’25. Neither can be untouchable in the best deal. Need Luis Robert to be baseball Randy Moss for you? Commerce whomever.
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| 12:29 |
: Did you get an opportunity to see Grant Taylor within the AFL? In that case, what are your ideas on what you noticed?
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| 12:30 |
: does mo baller make opening day in Chicago and if not, when. what are long run prospects for a giant stick being swung by a fair greater individual?
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| 12:32 |
: I’m cooling on him. He’s husky however not massive, he’s like 5-9. Was turned off by how little pullside contact he made towards AFL guys sitting 91. He’s gotta be a greater ball blocker to really catch, and catching is the one manner he’s going to be a 50 kind participant.
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| 12:33 |
: Christlike ceiling. 2027 ETA, in all probability extra like 2029 earlier than we see him hitting 30+ bombs
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| 12:33 |
: He’ll be 23 then
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| 12:34 |
: Ideas on Griffin Conine after his fairly stable stretch to finish the season in MLB?
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| 12:34 |
: Typically guys with *this a lot* energy have a related however slim peak.
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| 12:36 |
: With the contraction of the minors and fewer high quality within the excessive minors, will we see youthful guys take an opportunity in Korea or Japan get higher high quality reps?
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| 12:38 |
: I believe that is underrating how powerful NPB is. I fear that extra Latin American gamers will resolve to signal with NPB and develop of their minors, there was a minute when this was taking place however much less so of late. If you happen to’re polished sufficient it presents an attention-grabbing path to eventual free company, however the way in which draft bonuses are priced creates sufficient incentive for guys to remain.
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| 12:38 |
: Of the hard-throwers within the 35+ FV part of the Arizona record, who do you assume has the most effective shot at creating right into a legit setup/high-leverage pitcher?
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| 12:40 |
: Rattling, it could be simply be Ciprian. Knowlton is freaky and there are good causes he’s nonetheless so uncooked, so he’s in all probability acquired the most effective probability to do it any time quickly.
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| 12:40 |
: Two questions in your AZ write-ups:
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| 12:44 |
: Crisantes I don’t see the place the projection is coming from. I do know he’s younger however he’s maxed out, and if you happen to watch him swing sufficient I don’t assume he’s actually a real expertise 90% zone contact man or no matter he was….
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| 12:46 |
: Angelo he’s sitting 94-95 and that’s barely above common velo, the spin axis on the fastball (1:30) is in that space hat appears to be very hittable. Like him to supply low leverage size. If the arrow retains pointing up then perhaps I’m gentle.
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| 12:46 |
: Assuming Sasaki winds up going to both the Padres or Dodgers, which prime IFAs are these groups linked to and what do you assume occurs to these youngsters?
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| 12:48 |
: There’s no motive to take a position about this till it occurs, it’s good for no one concerned. If he had been going to be a Dodger then, for my part, the posting would have occurred on this facet of the cutoff date once they have among the many most cash.
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| 12:48 |
: Eriq Swan was among the best pitchers within the AFL, which doesn’t actually imply something, however did something significant change together with his profile based mostly on these showings? Enhancing command and simply pitching appear to be his greatest developmental wants, proper?
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| 12:50 |
: Yeah, simply pitching and dealing with hitters that good was a step up for him. Had him 97-98, cutter 87-89, sweeper 82-84, changeup 90. Freaky small ahead kind physique, supply is extra pure wanting than in faculty. Love him.
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| 12:54 |
: Actually like him, idk if I used to be the excessive man on him when their record ran or not however I bear in mind being fairly aggressive rating him contemplating he was DSL on the time. Little man, like 5-10, massive time arm sitting 95 with 20 inches IVB, potential plus slider however actually inconsistent end proper now. Changeup is okay, like to challenge on it due to the athlete/arm motion piece. Nonetheless slightly man in A-ball not gonna be a prime 100 man for me this offseason or something loopy like that, been burned too many instances by these A ball arms, particularly the wee ones
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| 12:54 |
: When can we count on the Marlins prime prospects record to drop?
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| 12:55 |
: I’m gonna do CHC, SFG, COL subsequent after which transfer to the orgs based mostly in Florida, although whether or not I begin in with the Gulf Coast groups or the East Coast groups is tbd.
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| 12:55 |
: I’m scared he gained’t hit.
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| 12:55 |
: Nonetheless.
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| 12:55 |
: Do you assume the Cubs plan on having Shaw and both Caissie/Alcantara on the OD roster?
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| 12:56 |
: Perhaps Alcantara due to his choice yr scenario, in all probability not the others. Shaw would possibly kick the door down, I suppose.
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| 12:56 |
: How assured are you in Kumar Rocker as a beginning pitcher after final season?
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| 12:57 |
: Smedium. He’s been damage too typically for ten wholesome begins to make an inexpensive individual assured.
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| 12:59 |
: Truthfully, I ought to go watch his tape to see, idk proper now. As soon as he fell down the defensive spectrum within the Cubs system it was kinda over for him as something greater than depth/org kind however perhaps one thing has modified.
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| 12:59 |
: what had been your P12 takeaways?
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| 1:00 |
: Gotta juice Do Yeong Kim‘s and Hiroto Takahashi’s grades, Shosei Togo was kinda meh within the finals, Chieh-Hsien Chen must get added
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| 1:01 |
: Group USA must discover a solution to get higher pitching on their roster
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| 1:01 |
: With one staff prone to blow their complete 2025 pool on Roki, it’s been reported that this can trigger chaos when the signing interval opens. What are the largest results you anticipate? What sort of gamers are most definitely to be impacted most? Will a bunch of minimal ($10K) signings simply not occur, or will they find yourself signing for beneath that (since they wouldn’t depend towards the pool restrict)?
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| 1:03 |
: It will depend on who he indicators with. Some groups give most of their pool to a few guys, some unfold i out.
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| 1:03 |
: Do you see Carson Williams making an impression with the Rays in 2025?
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| 1:03 |
: Most likely not. They’re deep in entrance of him and he can’t hit breaking stuff.
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| 1:04 |
: Would you commerce Shaw/Ballesteros/Triantos for Crochet? (which is the rumored asking worth)
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| 1:04 |
: How does an arm bar look, why is it detrimental, and what’s the correction?
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| 1:04 |
: Prospect showdown: Who do you bought between A&M and former A&M OFers Jace Laviolette and Braden Montgomery?
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| 1:05 |
: Monty, I’m gonna be decrease than consensus on Jace, lotta swing and miss from each guys however one is simply freakier than the opposite.
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| 1:05 |
: What ought to I take into consideration Xavier Isaac’s enhance in Okay%? Was there one thing that occurred that hampered him this season or was there degradation in abilities?
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| 1:07 |
: It’s kinda scary and lengthy to the up/in portion of the zone, assume he might lower his stride and shorten up whereas nonetheless producing big energy.
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| 1:08 |
: Does the gamers union care that Sasaki will get manner lower than he ought to? It looks as if the present pool cap or a global draft with bonus caps decrease participant pay by an enormous amount- what would the gamers have to surrender to return to the outdated system?
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| 1:09 |
: A not so good thing that I believe has been true in regards to the PA for many of my life is that they don’t actually care about guys who aren’t within the membership but.
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| 1:09 |
: Therefore the developments in Int’l and draft bonuses
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| 1:10 |
: If you happen to had been handed the keys to an amatuer draft, which staff’s construction/mannequin/draft historical past would your draft most align with?
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| 1:11 |
: BOS, ATL, MIL
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| 1:11 |
: Does pitch repertoire issue into evaluating pitchers? Like do some groups worth particular pitches/mixes kind of? Or is the considering extra so long as its efficient throw no matter.
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| 1:12 |
: Yeah, particularly in terms of fastball form and aircraft.
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| 1:12 |
: Hello Eric! Josue De Paula, Zyhir Hope, and Kendall George are all L/L A ball OF for the Dodgers, all have completely different talent units. Who’re you highest on in comparison with business opinion?
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| 1:12 |
: De Paula, not shut.
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| 1:12 |
: Any probability you’d look to return to working for an org somewhat than keep in a public position?
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| 1:12 |
: Growth Group X, sounds enjoyable.
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| 1:13 |
: What precisely does aircraft imply on a fastball? Doesn’t the situation of a given pitch inform aircraft? Are sure varieties of aircraft generically good or dangerous?
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| 1:15 |
: Location does impression the aircraft (strategy angle, vertically and horizontally) of any particular person pitch, sure, but when Tim Lincecum and Mark Appel each find a fastball to the identical location, one among them goes to have a shallow aircraft that could be very tough for hitters to get on prime of and one among them just isn’t.
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| 1:15 |
: On the whole, common or typical or generic is dangerous. Guys like Chris Younger or Verlander have steep aircraft but it surely’s so steep that it’s distinctive and turns into good.
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| 1:16 |
: Obvs command is a big issue for guys to find their fastballs to their simplest location
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| 1:16 |
: Do you assume the A’s will velocity run a Nick Kurtz name up
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| 1:16 |
: Do you assume they provide into an intl draft? That appeared to nonetheless be a sticking level for the union…
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| 1:17 |
: Based mostly on their all of their earlier concessions. They’ll combat like hell and use it as a negotiating chip however in the end I guess we have now one other overhaul to hat system in some unspecified time in the future, draft or not
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| 1:19 |
: How far-off is the primary D1 feminine baseball participant, or do you assume it’ll by no means occur.
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| 1:21 |
: Softball makes it powerful as a result of the entire American athletes are taking part in a a lot completely different sport. For some time I believed she’d come from tennis or one thing, now I simply assume she’ll be Australian the place ladies baseball is changing into a factor.
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| 1:21 |
: Due to how a lot pitching depth groups want I’d guess that’ll be the place. I used to assume 2B.
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| 1:22 |
: Do I’ve to be subscribed to get a query answered?
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| 1:22 |
: No however I’ve a pair hundred individuals in right here and there are plenty of questions. You do must be a subscriber to get to sick vacation lights background on the location, although.
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| 1:24 |
: mira:
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| 1:24 |
:
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| 1:25 |
: Almost certainly Braves prospect to be traded this offseason? And ideas on Drake Baldwin.. ought to he be untouchable?
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| 1:26 |
: I don’t assume Drake ought to be untouchable however I believe with d’Arnaud gone it will get more durable to maneuver him. Nacho is kinda blocked, although, huh?
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| 1:26 |
: You appear very low on Crisantes. Some scouts are saying he can actually hit. You don’t assume he can develop common energy ?
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| 1:27 |
: Lol we’re gonna discover out.
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| 1:29 |
:
 The lights are superior…thanks!
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| 1:29 |
: What staff did you set your colours as, Cleveland?
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| 1:29 |
: Nacho may not be blocked quickly. Bowman additionally stated just lately that Ozzie may very well be a commerce choice. His protection has gotten actually dangerous and the low obp strategy could age poorly.
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| 1:29 |
: There ya go
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| 1:30 |
: Oh look a that I’m manner over my time. I’ve gotta break up and make just a few cellphone calls. See you subsequent week after I’ll be again from Winter Conferences with another new sickness just like the flu or being a Cowboys fan. g’bye
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Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and presently lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent 4 years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Data Options and two contributing to prospect protection at ESPN.com. Earlier work may also be discovered at Sports activities On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.
