The Mets and Pete Alonso have seemingly been in a staredown for fairly some time and it’s nonetheless unclear who will blink first. Reporting from final week indicated that Alonso’s camp had pitched a short-term cope with opt-outs to the Mets however Alonso stays unsigned. Reviews from each Andy Martino of SNY and Joel Sherman of The New York Publish recommend a pivot level is coming the place the Mets could transfer on to plans that don’t contain Alonso having a spot on the 2025 staff.
It has lengthy appeared attainable that Alonso’s free company may go this fashion. Final winter, the “Boras 4” lingered in free company nicely into the brand new yr and ultimately settled for contracts under expectations. Cody Bellinger, Matt Chapman, Blake Snell and Jordan Montgomery all signed offers that solely had been assured for 2 or three years, although with every participant having the prospect to opt-out after every season. There have been causes to anticipate Alonso may observe them down this highway.
Alonso reportedly turned down an extension supply of seven years and $158MM again in the summertime of 2023. He nonetheless had one arbitration season to go at that time, in the end making $20.5MM in 2024, so he successfully turned down $137.5MM for six free agent years. There had been studies that Alonso was trying on the contracts of Freddie Freeman and Matt Olson at targets. Freeman signed for $162MM over six years, although with deferrals. Olson signed an eight-year, $168MM extension when he was nonetheless two years away from free company.
However Alonso isn’t as well-rounded of a participant as these two. Whereas his energy is elite, his plate self-discipline and protection are each under Freeman and Olson. He’s additionally coming off a few relative down years. He had a profession batting line of .261/.349/.535 and a 137 wRC+ by the 2022 season however then hit .229/.324/.480 for a 122 wRC+ over the 2 most up-to-date campaigns. That’s nonetheless robust manufacturing however it’s going to naturally concern a membership enthusiastic about making a long-term funding.
Alonso continues to be unsigned with pitchers and catchers set to report back to spring coaching in lower than a month. There may be obvious willingness to pivot to a short-term deal however a deal nonetheless hasn’t come collectively. There may be nonetheless extra time, as Bellinger’s settlement got here collectively in late February final yr, Chapman’s in early March. Nevertheless, immediately’s studies each level to the Mets beginning to take into account different choices.
The Mets have had a entrance workplace shakeup since providing that extension to Alonso. Billy Eppler was the final supervisor at the moment however David Stearns is now working the membership’s baseball operations division. Stearns by no means actually devoted lots of sources to first base, as proven in MLBTR’s Contract Tracker. A 3-year, $16MM deal for Eric Thames was his largest funding within the place for the Brewers. Milwaukee non-tendered Chris Carter after he hit 41 residence runs in 2016, somewhat than pay him a projected $8.1MM wage.
Stearns is working with extra sources now that he’s with the Mets however has continued to be measured in how he makes use of these sources, other than the Juan Soto deal. As an alternative of signing prime free agent beginning pitchers, he has taken bounceback fliers on guys like Frankie Montas and Griffin Canning. He additionally signed Clay Holmes, hoping to get beginning pitcher worth for reliever costs.
The Mets do have some inside choices for nook infield work. Mark Vientos had a fantastic season in 2024, largely enjoying third base, however his protection didn’t obtain robust grades. It’s been instructed that he might be moved over to first base, with the recent nook then being open for a contest between guys like Brett Baty, Luisangel Acuña and Ronny Mauricio. There’s some uncertainty in happening that highway and there could be some sense in including Alonso again into the combination, however it appears the Mets and Alonso’s camp can’t agree on a good worth.
Groups will naturally be drawn to a short-term deal because it lowers the probabilities of them being saddled with a participant’s decline years, however the participant often seems to be to get the next common annual worth as a compromise. Bellinger’s deal assured him $80MM however in frontloaded trend, permitting him to decide out after one yr with $30MM in his pocket or after two years with $60MM within the financial institution. Alonso is maybe in search of one thing comparable, which the Mets will not be eager on.
The Mets are set to be a third-time payor of the aggressive stability tax and RosterResource initiatives their CBT quantity at $276MM subsequent yr. Signing Alonso to one thing within the vary of $25-30MM yearly would push that near the fourth and remaining tier of the tax, which is $301MM this yr. The Mets would pay a 95% tax on spending from tier three to tier 4, then a 110% tax for spending excessive line. As such, even using Alonso for one yr after which having him decide out would price them one thing like $60MM. If he has a disappointing season and doesn’t decide out, as occurred with Bellinger, they might be caught with the deal for one more yr or two.
The Mets additionally stand to obtain draft decide compensation if Alonso indicators elsewhere. As a tax payor, their bonus decide wouldn’t be till after the fourth spherical. That’s not massively essential in baseball phrases however it’s not nothing and it could go away in the event that they re-sign Alonso.
It’s a tough calculation for the Mets to make with a franchise favourite, however it appears they’re keen to play laborious ball and transfer on to different choices quickly. Martino does point out that the Mets checked in with the Blue Jays about Vladimir Guerrero Jr. but additionally downplays the talks considerably, characterizing the match as “fantasy baseball.” That aligns with public feedback from Toronto’s common supervisor Ross Atkins, who has typically downplayed the probability of the Jays buying and selling Guerrero or Bo Bichette.
Martino mentions a reunion with Jesse Winker or signing Anthony Santander as different attainable pivots, although he provides that the latter is much less more likely to come to fruition. For Alonso, if he’s not destined to return to Queens, he should do his personal pivot. MLBTR lately checked out among the golf equipment that might doubtlessly signal him to a short-term deal, with the Giants, Blue Jays, Pink Sox, Angels, Athletics and Tigers among the choices.