2:01 |
: Hey everybody, welcome to the chat
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2:01 |
: Being that it’s early January, I’m gonna maintain it comparatively quick immediately
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2:01 |
: Say 45 minutes or so
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2:01 |
: however let’s use that point properly
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2:01 |
: With their additions, are the A’s legit contenders for a playoff spot in 2025?
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2:01 |
: No. I feel they’re nonetheless gonna be sub-10% or so
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2:02 |
: However extra respectable than a lot of the current variations of the A’s, nonetheless
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2:02 |
: The Orioles have starter depth however nonetheless want an ace, and the Padres, who will lose Dylan Stop subsequent 12 months, might use a younger OF bat. Would one thing like Heston Kjerstad and Dean Kremer, perhaps with a 3rd piece, get it achieved?
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2:02 |
: I feel that might get it achieved, however I don’t actually see them buying and selling Kjerstad
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2:03 |
: It’s simply incompatible with the best way they deal from their prospects; Ortiz was not precisely surplus however fairly blocked by different attention-grabbing prospects on the very least
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2:03 |
: Kjerstad feels extra prone to be an actual contributor this 12 months, which might make the commerce much less of a pure improve. that appears to me to be the best way they prefer to make offers
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2:03 |
: I do know you suppose Eguy Rosario can have a future if he can get unblocked. Roster Useful resource now reveals him because the Padres’ DH, however this doesn’t seem to be an amazing match. Does he stay commerce bait, maybe an additional piece in a Dylan Stop deal?
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2:03 |
: I feel that’d be awkward b/c a workforce buying Stop might be a playoff contender, and that doesn’t sound like a workforce that’s going to only slam Eguy right into a beginning spot
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2:05 |
: I don’t completely hate DH for him, however i feel that AB’s shall be arduous to come back by there, so yeah, I’d like to see him in a spot the place he has common infield enjoying time
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2:05 |
: The Yankees can’t actually be assuming DJLM shall be enjoying third once more this 12 months, can they? CAN THEY?!?!?!?
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2:06 |
: I actually suppose that they’re going to accumulate a bigger-ticket 3B nonetheless
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2:06 |
: their roster simply makes so little sense with DJLM
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2:06 |
: it’s leaving an apparent level of weak point in a winter the place a lot of their strikes appear to be about shoring up weaknesses
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2:07 |
: What sort of contract do you suppose Framber Valdez might be subsequent 12 months? Similar age at FA as Snell (32), much less stuff however extra sturdy. 4/120? 5/140? Extra?
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2:07 |
: man, I’d be actually apprehensive about giving Framber a giant deal. That’s an actual change of opinion for me, I really feel like I used to be one of many excessive analysts on him for years, however the final 18 months or so have me questioning how he’s going to deal with a change in stuff
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2:07 |
: his fastball appears to want a really specific form to work, and when he misplaced it for some time, he was not excellent
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2:08 |
: I suppose I’d say that he’ll most likely get one thing within the vary you named, however I’d hope to not be the workforce giving it to him
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2:08 |
: I feel it’s wrong-way danger. I don’t suppose he’s prone to ship you an enormous windfall at that contract, however coming in approach low feels potential to me
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2:08 |
: There aren’t any well being updates on Edward Cabrera and he’s projected because the #2 starter for the Marlins. Do you imagine that risk? Can he really keep wholesome and productive or is the die forged?
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2:08 |
: I don’t imagine that risk
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2:09 |
: Not that it will possibly’t occur… however I’d wager in opposition to it at affordable odds
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2:09 |
: Greatest shock of the offseason to this point?
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2:09 |
: I feel it’s the A’s turning into aggressive acquirers in beginning pitching
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2:10 |
: The A’s have lots of starters on their 40-man roster: Severino, Springs, Sears, Bido, Ginn, Estes, Spence, Basso, and Harris. Barring a commerce or damage, Severino, Springs, and Sears are locks for the rotation. However what ought to they do with the remainder of them? None of them actually have something left to show or work on within the minors. Ought to the A’s experiment with a workers of tandem starters the place two pitchers work 5 innings and 4 innings, respectively, every sport, as an alternative of the normal 5-man rotation and 8-man bullpen?
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2:10 |
: For instance!
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2:11 |
: Mmmmm, no, I don’t suppose that makes a ton of sense except they’ve buy-in from everybody. I feel extra realistically, a few of these guys are going to get harm and a few gained’t play sufficient to be within the majors.
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2:11 |
: Like, Hogan Harris is on this record. He’s 28 and each single run prevention stat was above 5.50 in sizable minor league enjoying time final 12 months
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2:12 |
: I really feel like I do know lots about baseball, and I needed to lookup who Basso was
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2:12 |
: dude was additionally getting shelled within the minors
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2:13 |
: This isn’t a ‘we have now 8 true established starters’ state of affairs, I feel that they need to simply go the conventional route and let accidents and underperformance make issues work
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2:13 |
: Guardians received a steal on Shane Bieber this 12 months after seeing Boyd and Morton’s contracts, amongst others. I’d suppose he needs to be gone on the deadline in the event that they aren’t positive contenders by then
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2:13 |
: I agree with you right here
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2:14 |
: I used to be very shocked to see him signal for that deal given how excited groups have been to pay potential top-end starter
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2:14 |
: That stated, I get it from his standpoint. It’s good to rehab in a state of affairs you’re conversant in, and the cash/years aren’t horrible
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2:14 |
: I feel this was a case the place the potential future earnings bump from having your rehab go properly outstrips the additional couple of dollars you may make this offseason
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2:15 |
: Brady Basso was not getting shelled within the minors. He was in Vegas and was sufferer of an unsustainable excessive HR/FB%. His xFIP was 4.26, which is nice for that setting
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2:15 |
: do you suppose he has nothing extra to show within the minors?
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2:15 |
: No, he has extra to show for positive
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2:15 |
: Yeah, that’s extra my level
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2:15 |
: like, that wasn’t a listing the place I’d be flabbergasted if anybody received despatched down
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2:16 |
: i’d be extra shocked if nobody did
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2:16 |
: A lot of speaking heads and followers in NYC are saying that the NYY, as presently constituted, are a greater workforce than final 12 months’s squad with Soto. I don’t see it. What do you suppose?
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2:16 |
: Yeah, I don’t actually purchase it, however I’ll say, I like their function gamers’ odds of bouncing again
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2:16 |
: like having a full season of Jazz is good
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2:17 |
: and I feel that their pitching will most likely be higher even ex-Fried
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2:17 |
: Respect the temporary backwards and forwards, that’s what makes these chats enjoyable 🙂
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2:17 |
: and like I stated, I’m no Basso skilled
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2:17 |
: Um, what are the Orioles doing? It appears to be like like they may blow their likelihood to maximise their window as a result of Elias is brutally danger averse in relation to their SP.
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2:18 |
: Yeah uh… I write this text yearly
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2:18 |
: I truly wished to put in writing an article known as ‘c’mon, orioles, do one thing’ earlier than they signed Sugano, and I discovered I’d already written an article with that title
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2:18 |
: I’m very confused by their methodology
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2:19 |
: it’s sort of Rays-y in that they appear to be making an attempt to construct a really sustainably high-floor group by focusing closely on trades that spherical them out relatively than make them higher-ceiling, and hten taking occasional swings
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2:20 |
: however that appears like a extremely unusual strategy to go about maximizing a window constructed on two stars
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2:20 |
: Mountcastle and Kremer get you near Castillo? Would Povich be price greater than Kremer?
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2:20 |
: I’m not saying it shouldn’t
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2:20 |
: or properly, perhaps I’m, I haven’t thought too arduous about that but
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2:20 |
: however the Mariners aren’t budging for scraps like that
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2:20 |
: they’ve made it very clear that htey suppose their pitchers are price their weight in gold
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2:21 |
: ‘right here, have a roughly common first baseman and a starter who wouldn’t go in your rotation’
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2:21 |
: Do you suppose groups/pitchers/catchers generally declare PitchCom issues when there aren’t any, simply to get an additional minute of relaxation? It might simply be me remembering examples throughout high-leverage conditions, however it does seem to be they may sport the pitch-clock system sometimes by saying the PitchCom isn’t working – very not often have I seen them substitute the machine.
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2:21 |
: ‘suppose’ isn’t robust sufficient
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2:21 |
: I strongly imagine it
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2:21 |
: I’d be shocked, extra shocked than I’d be if the White Sox go .500 this 12 months, to be taught that it ISN’T occurring
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2:21 |
: trying ahead to the Orioles turning into the following angels
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2:21 |
: Like – I’m a Yankee fan and even I’m like – ORIOLES, PLEASE DO SOMETHING
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2:22 |
: I don’t suppose they’re gonna flip into the following Angels
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2:23 |
: I do suppose they may flip into the following Pirates, by way of a workforce that hit it large with some progressive new methods, developed an exceptional core on account of that plus some good draft picks, after which by no means supplemented the core in any respect and ended up losing it
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2:23 |
: FWIW – Luis Castillo’s weight in gold is round $500k. They’re treating him as way more useful.
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2:23 |
: price his weight in GPU’s
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2:23 |
: i dunno, some useful factor. price his weight in vanilla?
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2:23 |
: however like, actual vanilla pods, not the extract
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2:24 |
: If the Mariners suppose Castillo is superior and so they’re completely comfortable paying him his contract (affordable I feel), what does a commerce of him even seem like? A pitcher simply nearly as good plus extra?
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2:24 |
: a prime hitting prospect
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2:24 |
: most likely with an ETA of proper now
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2:25 |
: Whereas I agree on the pitchcom I’ve one other, maybe extra refined strategy to sport the clock – Francisco Alvarez actually likes to throw behind runners. I feel that a part of that’s he likes to throw however it additionally offers the pitcher an additional second with out breaking any guidelines
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2:26 |
: I feel that this one is much less implicit and extra accepted
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2:26 |
: again picks final 12 months felt to me, anecdotally, more likely than they was to get lollipopped in there
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2:26 |
: How a lot of Pete Alonso’s lack of a sturdy market this 12 months is resulting from his poor platform 12 months and the way a lot is it that projection programs actually don’t like him?
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2:26 |
: These issues are inextricably linked, however I suppose what I’d say is that this
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2:27 |
: I feel that the projection system consensus was decrease on Alonso than followers/baseball execs already coming into 2024
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2:27 |
: I feel it largely got here from the truth that he broke out late and projection programs are skeptical of profession arcs like that
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2:28 |
: however I feel that this unhealthy platform 12 months each lowered the projections additional, to love ‘crimson flag, maintain up the deal’ ranges, and in addition cooled off the ‘we’re signing him for the dingers and autographs’ crowd a bit
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2:29 |
: I’ve no clue what he’s gonna do. I feel I wrote lots in my blurb about how I do model-based projecting and there aren’t lots of instances like Alonso’s so I mainly instructed the mannequin to close up and went up by lots from its estiamte
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2:29 |
: Is Goldschmidt the worst signing of the offseason to this point? Brian Cashman has made this error one million occasions earlier than and reveals no signal of slowing, not like Paul
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2:29 |
: oh man, I don’t suppose so in any respect
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2:29 |
: now, in the event that they’re dedicated to giving him 600 PA’s even when he’s toast, sure
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2:29 |
: however I feel that it’s a good wager at worth
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2:30 |
: like, dude gained MVP not too long ago sufficient, and gamers have late-career spike years usually sufficient, that I feel it is a good danger to be taking
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2:30 |
: if he’s a catastrophe and also you’re keen to chop him, then it’s no biggie
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2:30 |
: I assure you you will get a blah-level 1B on the commerce deadline for peanuts
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2:31 |
: Are you apprehensive about Rutschman in any respect or do you suppose his hunch was injury-related?
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2:31 |
: So like… I don’t suppose a 100/0 view of that is right
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2:31 |
: I’m positively a lot much less apprehensive than I’d in any other case be b/c there’s a transparent connection to his damage and his decline
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2:31 |
: and I’m additionally not significantly apprehensive in regards to the numerous tender denials that it was injury-related, no matter, that’s what you’re speculated to say if you happen to’re the workforce
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2:32 |
: however I feel sticking your head within the sand is incorrect too
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2:32 |
: definitely, my base case for him has shifted down barely
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2:33 |
: Leaping in a bit late so undecided if this has been answered, however what do you make of all of the Casas conjecture? Breslow has stated a number of occasions that he’s not accessible and isn’t being shopped however individuals nonetheless appear to suppose the alternative.
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2:33 |
: talking of a participant who the M’s supposedly didn’t need for Castillo!
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2:33 |
: Now that you’ve got been doing the free agent predictions for a couple of years, have you ever thought-about doing a classes realized recap? Stuff you received proper/incorrect, issues the group received proper/incorrect, what has modified over time, and so forth?
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2:33 |
: I did one in all these final 12 months
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2:33 |
: I’m going to do a halfway ‘right here’s how our predictions have achieved’ check-in this week, as properly
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2:34 |
: and yeah, count on extra articles of me fascinated about my very own course of. it’s a pleasant strategy to fill content material voids within the offseason and folks appear to take pleasure in studying them
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2:34 |
: You nearer to Steamer (119 wRC+) or ZiPS (108 OPS+) for Jackson Chourio subsequent 12 months?
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2:34 |
: Within the occasion Vladdy cant attain a long run cope with Toronto? what are the probabilities the FO simply retains him the entire 12 months in hopes that one good 12 months will save their jobs?
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2:34 |
: I feel that query is mainly inconceivable to reply with out figuring out their file in July
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2:35 |
: Given the Orioles appear utterly disinterested in spending large cash, how lengthy is it earlier than groups begin sniffing round Rutschman and/or Henderson? Not saying they need to commerce them however with their prospect depth, I might see Baltimore at the very least contemplating it.
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2:35 |
: O/U on years till I get traded? I need my cash and so they arent giving it to me
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2:35 |
: I don’t suppose they’ll afford to do it
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2:35 |
: even when they only maintain him till FA
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2:35 |
: buying and selling him would inevitably make hte workforce worse within the quick run
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2:35 |
: b/c like… that’s how trades of superstars work
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2:35 |
: even if you happen to ‘win’ it, you win it in years of management, not 12 months one WAR
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2:36 |
: and I don’t suppose this entrance workplace would survive doing a re-teardown
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2:36 |
: once you aren’t successful playoff video games with one of the best participant in your workforce doing extremely properly, eliminating that dude doesn’t sign ‘we actually care about successful playoff video games’
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2:36 |
: perhaps if they’ve extra postseason success earlier than then?
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2:37 |
: As a Purple Sox fan and an English main, I can’t imagine I didn’t know that Hanley Ramirez was initially speculated to be named Hamlet (per Jay). What a superb factor.
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2:37 |
: That’s certainly glorious
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2:37 |
: I had no thought
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2:37 |
: Is the Arenado commerce hypothesis probably the most discuss ever a couple of pseudo-salary dump that by no means truly occurs?
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2:38 |
: I nonetheless suppose it’s gonna occur, however man, I’m not so positive that he needs it to occur
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2:38 |
: like, turning down the commerce to the astros to ‘let the market develop’ dude you’re not a free agent
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2:39 |
: I continuously see individuals say somebody like Kyle Tucker or Vlad Jr. could be loopy to not go to free company at this level. Am I actually loopy for pondering these individuals are not adequately accounting for danger? I’d determine that the draw back danger of getting a 12 months marked by damage or worse than common efficiency would at the very least incentivize making an attempt to get the bag now.
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2:39 |
: I’d by no means attain free company
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2:39 |
: I’d be hitting the bid so arduous I’d create a gust of wind
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2:40 |
: now, I’d absolutely struggle for bid first, however like…. at my stage of danger aversion, I’d take an extension for positive
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2:40 |
: baseball gamers aren’t typically as danger averse as I’m. they most likely wouldn’t be baseball gamers in the event that they had been
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2:40 |
: Rhodium – rhodium and Luis Castillo are roughly the identical worth by weight. Luis Castillo’s contract might pay for lots of catalytic converters and is subsequently extra useful than any measly baseball participant.
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2:40 |
: man perhaps the O’s ought to simply provide the Mariners some rhodium mining rights
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2:40 |
: am I incorrect to actually not like the concept of Arraez to NYY like has floated round immediately? that’s including a ton of issues to your workforce so as to add a singles hitter within the worst ballpark in baseball for lefty singles hitters
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2:41 |
: I feel that Arraez is a man who’s largely resistant to park results b/c of his wild batted ball distribution
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2:41 |
: however uh yeah, I feel he’s a extremely unhealthy match
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2:41 |
#BringBackNotGraphs |
2:41 |
: No no. I’m unhealthy at math. His weight in gold is $8 million. However nonetheless…
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2:41 |
: whoops, forgot to put up that one
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2:42 |
: and yeah, I pretty shortly realized that GPU’s are most likely pretty heavy
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2:42 |
: If not one of the Cardinal veterans had no-trade clauses, who do you suppose they’d have moved this offseason?
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2:42 |
: I feel simply Arenado, actually
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2:42 |
: if i’m them, I’m interested by dealing Grey on the deadline if the wage dump they’re so into is already achieved
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2:43 |
: Do the Purple sox want one other addition or is Walker Buehler going to be sufficient? There are query marks however Houck, Crochet, Buehler, Bello and one thing from Giolito might be excellent.
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2:43 |
: I feel I just like the rotation sufficient as is
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2:43 |
: it’s sort of protection in depth; I feel unhealthy outcomes on ALL these guys on the identical time are unlikely
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2:43 |
: even when one or two are very prone to prove badly
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2:44 |
: if I had been the Sox and seeking to enhance, I’d care much more in regards to the infield
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2:45 |
: I’m fairly down on Story, and I actually suppose they’re setting themselves as much as find yourself having to play Rafaela within the infield once more
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2:45 |
: Relating to the Vlad/Tucker about to hit free company dialogue…Are there insurance coverage markets that they’ll faucet into and get a payout within the occasion that they get injured or underperform, and may’t safe a $100m plus contract, for instance? I assume one thing like this have to be utilized, when the probably future earnings are so nice…
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2:45 |
: maybe there are, however properly, an extension is sort of like insurance coverage too
|
2:45 |
: so now we’re simply arguing over what kind of insurance coverage to take and which pays higher
|
2:45 |
: or, which is less expensive, relatively
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2:45 |
: I don’t know the reply to that… however my level is that I’d need insurance coverage
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2:46 |
: Do you suppose groups care that reneging on already established offers to signal Sasaki may harm their status with IFAs? Or do Latin youngsters have so little leverage that it wouldn’t actually matter
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2:46 |
: mmmm…. I feel that they may, however I feel ‘sorry, we’ll discover some strategy to make this best for you or at the very least advocate you to our mates on different groups however this man threw an ideal sport after which one other 8 good innings’ shall be an affordable excuse
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2:47 |
: like, in the event that they’re doing it for some rando, not a lot
|
2:47 |
: however this dude’s well-known
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2:47 |
: Lot of analyst count on a regression from Ramos. Do you see that?
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2:47 |
: I feel it is determined by what you imply by regression
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2:48 |
: I’m greater than Steamer’s 107 wRC+
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2:49 |
: ZiPS is in between his 2024 and Steamer’s projected 2025 and htinks he’ll be an above common participant
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2:49 |
: I feel that’s fairly near my view. He’s all the time going to have some strikeout points b/c of his swing, however i feel that his present method does job of maximizing his skills, and you’ll’t faux bat pace, the man has energy
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2:49 |
: What if you happen to took all the carbon out of Luis Castillo and compressed it to make a diamond?
|
2:50 |
: oh man, this received me questioning how dense diamonds are
|
2:50 |
: not practically as dense as I believed is the reply there
|
2:50 |
: Couldn’t they signal Bregman for 2b and shift Albies to ss?
|
2:50 |
: mmm… I don’t suppose Albies oculd play quick
|
2:51 |
: I’m not saying he’s an terrible defender, however he’s not an unquestionably nice second baseman as it’s, and his weakest side is perhaps his throwing arm
|
2:52 |
: doesn’t scream ‘transfer me to shortstop’ for me
|
2:52 |
: Have you ever regarded into Eugenio Suarez’s resurgence, or ought to I say demigod of sizzling streaks? There’s a narrative about swing and sport prep modifications made, however how a lot of that efficiency can we truly to proceed seeing?
|
2:52 |
: the man may be very streaky
|
2:53 |
: however I’d identical to to level out that he’s a fairly first rate participant on a regular basis
|
2:53 |
: on the finish of these streaks
|
2:53 |
: and that I’d count on him to be fairly first rate once more in 2025
|
2:53 |
: I bear in mind final 12 months I stated that the marketplace for an above common common have to be fairly gentle b/c of how little Suarez moved for
|
2:54 |
: and lots of chatters (not everybody, clearly) had been like ‘no that man is unhealthy’
|
2:54 |
: streaky gamers are arduous to judge
|
2:54 |
: Orioles sending a depth sp like Kremer and center infielder like Ramon Urias for Luis Castillo? Do you see this as sensible?
|
2:54 |
: nope, not anymore than I did 45 minutes in the past on this very chat
|
2:54 |
: Ha-Seong Kim to the Yankees to play 2b makes an excessive amount of sense to not occur. They’ve an enormous gap at 2b or 3b resulting from Jazz’s versatility. Do you suppose there’s a match?
|
2:55 |
: so, that is solely hypothesis
|
2:55 |
: but when I’m Kim, I wish to both play shortstop or safe the bag
|
2:55 |
: b/c his worth is lots greater if he can deal with quick. So a pillow contract the place he’s enjoying shortstop? sure
|
2:55 |
: a five-year deal for some huge cash to play second base in the big apple? sure
|
2:56 |
: a brief deal to play a less-valuable place on a workforce the place you may get moved round greater than you’d want? not bought
|
2:56 |
: mix that with the truth that the Yankees appear to be appearing cap-constrained, and I don’t suppose it’s probably
|
2:56 |
: it’s on-field match however I don’t suppose it matches what Kim’s superb enjoying state of affairs is
|
2:57 |
: If there was one all-baseball mvp would you’ve gone Choose or Ohtani this season?
|
2:57 |
: I feel I’d go Ohtani b/c 50/50 was simply so dang cool
|
2:57 |
: however realistically, Choose could be the proper choose, and I feel he’d win
|
2:57 |
: You might be proper to query the Purple Sox infield state of affairs. I haven’t been ready to determine simply what it’d seem like. The place do you stand on Casas? I’m removed from satisfied that he’s a stud.
|
2:58 |
: I’m not 100% locked in bought or something, however I’d like to have him on my workforce
|
2:58 |
: I actually just like the method
|
2:59 |
: I’d be apprehensive about well being
|
2:59 |
: however, I feel I’d relatively have him than lots of ALE 1B
|
3:00 |
: all of them besides Vlad, mainly
|
3:00 |
: Do you see SD shifting Arraez or Stop earlier than the season begins?
|
3:00 |
: I feel Stop is 50%+ probably
|
3:01 |
: I feel that Arraez doesn’t have a ton of worth in commerce. Not that he’s a foul participant, to be clear, simply, a 115 wRC+ positionless hitter isn’t precisely going to fetch a king’s ransom
|
3:02 |
: Isn’t it usually smarter for groups to attend for spring coaching and 60 day IL placements earlier than buying and selling away gamers?
|
3:02 |
: that’ll occur this 12 months too, there shall be one other wave of trades after roster squeezes come down somehwat
|
3:02 |
: I might see Roki going to the Dodgers, positive, however I don’t imagine within the handshake settlement or something. He looks like an idiosyncratic man who’s weighing all the things. Do you suppose it’s been a honest course of?
|
3:03 |
: and I feel that he’s much more probably than your common NPB celebrity to spurn the massive coastal metropolis markets
|
3:03 |
: To be clear, I’m not asking about Eugenio’s season ending numbers. These appear to be inside affordable vary of profession norms. However 2024 noticed him go off and carry out as the most effective hitters in baseball for about 3 months straight. With out trying it up, i assume that’s the longest stretch with that sort of manufacturing since his 49 HR season with the enjoyable ball of 2019.
|
3:03 |
: Oh yeah, I imply, I simply consider him as very streaky
|
3:03 |
: I don’t suppose he’ll proceed that manufacturing. and doubtless, there’ll be a month the place you’re like ‘we can not afford to maintain enjoying this man’
|
3:03 |
: after which a month the place nobody can get him out
|
3:03 |
: Will extra groups undertake a 6 man rotations?
|
3:04 |
: yeah. I feel that it is a long-term development (6-man reg season, 4-man playoffs) that may proceed to speed up
|
3:04 |
: If I’m right in hoping the Purple Sox OF in 2025 is Duran in CF with Anthony and Abreu manning the corners then I don’t see a spot for Rafaela, who I feel is definitely Miles Straw in disguise.
|
3:04 |
: I’m undecided on Rafaela quickly
|
3:04 |
: I feel I’d want 4 guys for 3 spots b/c it leaves room for one in all them to bust
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3:04 |
: but when they’re actually resource-constrained and will get an amazing infielder for Rafaela, I say do it
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3:05 |
: to me, although, their best path ahead is to only not do something
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3:05 |
: outfield-wise
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3:05 |
: alright, on that notice, I’m gonna head out and make some lunch
|
3:05 |
: let’s chat once more quickly, by which I imply on commonly scheduled Mondays
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3:05 |
: and have a beautiful week, everybody
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Ben is a author at FanGraphs. He might be discovered on Twitter @_Ben_Clemens.