| 12:08 |
: Good morning from sunny Tempe. I returned from Dallas yesterday night, had a good time with the entire FG crew and different baseball buddies, redeemed the town after ASB.
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| 12:08 |
: I’m gonna preempt quite a lot of questions by posting a number of hyperlinks to get began…
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| 12:09 |
: Plenty of people asking concerning the Crochet return. My ideas went stay a couple of minutes in the past. Kyle Teel Headlines Strong Return Package deal for White Sox in Garrett Crochet Commerce | FanGraphs Baseball
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| 12:10 |
: Briefly: A lot better than any of the offers they made final 12 months.
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| 12:10 |
: I additionally wrote up the Guardians return for Spencer Horwitz…
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| 12:11 |
: Okay let’s chat.
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| 12:11 |
: Cubs apparently are down to maneuver Cam Smith in a Kyle Tucker deal. Any guess of how a lot that’ll harm to look right now subsequent 12 months when Tucker’s on the free agent market?
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| 12:13 |
: I like Cam however I feel Tucker is an MVP candidate and I’d be tempted to make that commerce. The blow could be softened by the presence of Matt Shaw, who I feel is a extra pure match at 3B than both MIF spot and doubtless the long run reply there…
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| 12:14 |
: However I’d additionally wanna really feel a bit extra assured that my roster was really a contending roster earlier than I made a knowingly brief sighted transfer like that.
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| 12:14 |
: Do any of the A’s younger pitchers venture as greater than again of the rotation starters? Considering Estes, Ginn, Spence, Boyle, Basso, Harris, Waldichuk, Medina, Hoglund, Barnett, Perkins, and Morales.
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| 12:15 |
: I feel Ginn’s sinker will permit him to eat innings such that he’s not only a vanilla 5. Barnett similar factor, his stuff is fairly good and he’s confirmed that he can deal with the workload and maintain it….
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| 12:15 |
: Morales has large upside, continues to be uncooked. Plenty of variance there, however he has essentially the most upside of that group by lots.
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| 12:16 |
: Waldy and Medina I preferred as a no. 4 SP and late-inning RP, respectively.
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| 12:16 |
: Obvs Waldy was dangerous after which bought harm.
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| 12:16 |
: Ought to Konnor Griffin be extra extremely regarded contemplating his instruments and skill to play premium positions? To me, idk if another prospect has extra upside than him.
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| 12:18 |
: His proper tail outcomes are enormous, sure. The best way I grade gamers takes bust threat and dev time under consideration and each are related in Griffin’s case
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| 12:18 |
: Have you ever made eyes on Jesus Made but, Eric? What do you assume or do I would like to attend? Comfortable Hollidays Sir. What would you want for Christmas?
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| 12:20 |
: In the event you’re talking from a dynasty league standpoint, if it’s very exhausting to entry franchise kind gamers then go for it. I’ve seen a number of video games on tape, he seems the half and his trackman information was ridiculous. He’s undoubtedly a high 100 man, I’ll want extra earlier than I stuff him in he high 25 or one thing like that
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| 12:20 |
: For christmas, hmmm….
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| 12:21 |
: IDK perhaps it’s time for a brand new guitar?
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| 12:21 |
: How does your evaluation/valuation of high-contact, questionable-power prospects like McGonigle or Brito versus light-power-power, high-k guys distinction with how MLB groups would possibly worth these prospects?
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| 12:24 |
: It truthfully will depend on the workforce, and likewise varies individual to individual inside that workforce’s scouting or analyst group. I have a tendency to love the excessive contact guys even after they lack overt bodily projection, however I have a tendency to not venture on these types the best way others would possibly trying solely at their age.
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| 12:24 |
: As a Mariners fan I simply grew to become much more within the high of this years draft. I do know its early however how does the expertise on the high of this years draft evaluate to the final three?
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| 12:25 |
: I feel there are a few guys who’ve an argument to be high 100 prospects instantly, like two or three at this stage. By draft time that quantity is extra like 6. It’s attainable a real top-of-the-class slam dunk will emerge by then however I don’t assume there may be one now…
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| 12:26 |
: I really like Tyler Bremner from UC Santa Barbara and assume he’s as near a high 3-to-5 lock because the draft has proper now. Listed here are my notes on him proper now: Unfastened, versatile, and lean right-hander who sits mid 90s together with his FB and was routinley within the upper-90s throughout shorter bursts with Workforce USA in the course of the summer time of ’24. Posted a .88 WHIP as a soph at UCSB. Has a shot to develop three plus pitches. Fastball averaged 95 mph in the course of the common season with plus rise/run motion. Additionally incorporates a two-plane, bat-missing slider with tight, exhausting spin and unusual velocity (85-88 mph) for a pitch with above-average size. Bremner’s finest pitch is perhaps a changeup that may flash massive depth and late fading motion. There are stretches the place his arm slot drops when throwing the cambio however you may go loopy projecting on that pitch due to his fluidity and arm velocity. One of many high pitching prospects within the 2025 draft and a possible high 5 decide..
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| 12:27 |
: I feel Corona SS Billy Carlson is he finest highschool prospect and might be a 1.1 candidate if he exhibits up sronger within the spring. Plus defender, 7 arm, carried out from a bat-to-ball standpoint towards HS showcase guys.
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| 12:28 |
: Aiva Arquette is the opposite participant who checks mainly all of the containers from a defenseive match/offensive efficiency standpoint, and he has the overt bodily projection you search for in a high-ceiling man. He may blow up and go 1.
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| 12:29 |
: So these are my three high guys proper now.
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| 12:29 |
: That is clearly a lot simpler mentioned than performed, and might be mentioned of a thousand prospects who by no means grew to become something, however: what does a model of Spencer Jones who improves his swing choices sufficient to run a Okay% down round 30 on the main league stage seem like? I don’t assume he’ll ever get the whiff per swing charge to common, however that doesn’t actually decide the injury a man does on contact
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| 12:31 |
: Possibly a shade higher than Oneil Cruz’s 2024 line? Spenny’s energy is extra actualized on contact through higher launch.
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| 12:31 |
: There aren’t many minor leaguers who’ve managed 57% exhausting hit charges. Matt Wallner perhaps in there, too.
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| 12:32 |
: Do the Twins have sufficient SP depth within the higher minors (together with guys like SWR, Festa, and Matthews) to really feel snug in the event that they commerce Chris Paddack?
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| 12:36 |
: Was there something within the minor-league Rule V draft value noticing?
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| 12:37 |
: Lotta groups taking guys who they assume can really play C/SS simply an an org depth improve at these spots….
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| 12:38 |
: Plenty of pitching reclamation tasks. DeVito, Franco, Floyd, Peek, guys who’ve been harm or whose profession took a bizarre flip.
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| 12:38 |
: Hajjar is that, too
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| 12:39 |
: The highest decide, Joseph Yabbour, was sitting 96-98 on the finish of the 12 months at St. Lucie’s nearer. Actually wild man, however has upside if the White Sox can polish him up
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| 12:41 |
: As a Pink Sox fan, I’ve sophisticated emotions about this commerce. I perceive that Teel was the least heralded of the Heralded 4, and naturally I’m delighted to nonetheless have Anthony. However there are so few catchers round, in some way, and the Sox are already taking part in one who I feel could also be secretly a second basemen. Is Teel perhaps additional away than I believed? Is Narvaez anyone?
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| 12:42 |
: I can be engaged on writing up the Carlos Narvaez/Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz deal as soon as we get off right here. I mentioned out loud within the media workroom after the Crochet deal broke that the Yankees have been the workforce with a catching surplus for Boston to siphon from however I didn’t assume they’d really consummate one thing..
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| 12:43 |
: I presently have Narvaez eval’d as a power-over-hit third catcher. Will clearly take a contemporary cross at him once I write the piece.
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| 12:45 |
: Recognize your perception on Over-Slot just lately. Do you contemplate Ethan Holliday’s swing flaw being recognized this early one thing that works for (he’s not even 18 but) or towards him?
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| 12:47 |
: I’m undecided it’s correctable, I feel his arms simply work in a method that leaves him very susceptible to many fastballs up/away. I’ve him extra center of the primary spherical. 72% contact man on the showcase circuit, hit .240 and slugged .380 once you add up his total multi-year showcase pattern. Love the uncooked energy potential, don’t assume the efficiency deserves a high 5 decide. However the Colorado/Holliday connection and Washington’s willingness to take guys like Elijah Inexperienced looms.
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| 12:48 |
: Of Baltimore’s three 50 FV starters (Povich/McDermott/Younger), which one are you most in on? Aspect be aware: McDermott’s fastball visually seems essentially the most spectacular of his pitches however stuff fashions don’t take care of it (?)
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| 12:48 |
: I feel I’d have Younger first (lock SP), then McDermott (agree with you concerning the FB), after which Povich who I’m nervous has much less exact command than he must thrive with fairly vanilla stuff.
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| 12:50 |
: What are your ideas on projecting additional energy manufacturing for Spencer Horwitz? Is bat velocity the one obtrusive deficiency in his profile, and what’s your sense of gamers and dev teams means or monitor file of enhancing bat velocity w/o compromising contact charge and high quality?
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| 12:52 |
: That man has undoubtedly made himself stronger than I’d have guessed and he seems completely ripped, however yeah the bat velocity is the bat velocity. As a result of minor league bat velocity isn’t an goal factor I’ve entry to any identification of modifications such as you describe is dicey, proper? However yeah generally guys like Kristian Campbell simply begin swinging method, method tougher and there’s at all times some quantity of give to their hit software. If the inspiration was ok that they Okay extra however nonetheless at a workable charge, then cool.
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| 12:52 |
: If there’s variability in projecting Horwitz it’s most likely coming extra from whether or not an org assume he can play 2B or not. Much less to do together with his offense.
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| 12:53 |
: Ideas on Travis Hunter being listed as ATH as his place & whether or not or not he’ll get drafted by the As ?
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| 12:54 |
: Lol, I don’t know whether or not he’s going to have the ability to play each methods within the NFL. I need to hear the Dane Bruglers and Connor Rogers of the world on that subject. I do assume Mykell Williams is a darkish horse 1.1 candidate although, I’d take him over Abdul Carter as my high edge man.
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| 12:55 |
: Not a prospect anymore, however what do you consider Max Meyer at this level? Really feel like he wants to include the changeup and sinker extra. The fourseam doesn’t appear robust sufficient to be extra of a two-pitch man.
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| 12:55 |
: I’m with you, it could have been silly to assume that he’d maintain the arm energy he confirmed pre-pandemic (as much as 102 right here in AZ) for a complete season however to lose like seven ticks is fairly wild.
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| 12:57 |
: How far-off are the Nationals’ duo of 6’6” 20-year-old pitchers, Travis Sykora and Jarlin Susana, from reaching the Dollander-Chandler-Sproat tier on The Board?
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| 12:59 |
: How ever far-off from the 40-man they’re, mainly. Each might be back-of-the-100 sorts this cycle, strikes have been there for each this 12 months, Susana crested 100 innings i believe. Proving it with 120+ innings and being on the cusp of the majors is mainly a compulsory factor for me to place a pitching prospect within the high 30
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| 12:59 |
: Leaving almost certainly candidates of it (Dodgers, Yankees, Mets, Padres) Which mid-market workforce would you say has the very best sources and infrastructure to legitimately have a shot at Roki Sasaki?
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| 1:02 |
: Baltimore got here to thoughts first. One thing about Sasaki’s purported grave seriousness suits with Adley and that group. That org has performed effectively with pitching….
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| 1:03 |
: Hmmm, who else?
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| 1:05 |
: I selfishly need him to be a D’Again, Carroll would get to take a step again from the highlight in a method that is perhaps good for him. No Walker within the clubhouse, although.
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| 1:06 |
: The Rays or Las Vegas Athletics of Sacramento could be a enjoyable match, I wanna see a minor league park deal with that media deluge.
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| 1:07 |
: Clearly Cleveland, Seattle, Atlanta, locations which have proven they’ll make pitchers good, would all look like nice suits (although clearly SEA’s want is just not presently pitching)
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| 1:07 |
: Milwaukee on that record too
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| 1:08 |
: Non-zero shot to be the set-up man, needs to be extra constant. That child was at an AFL recreation like three days after they received the ship, simply needed to be round baseball.
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| 1:08 |
: After a reasonably disappointing debut within the majors final 12 months, is Bryan Ramos nonetheless the White Sox’ 3Bman of the longer term?
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| 1:08 |
: The dearth of bat velocity scares me however I’m nonetheless on his protection in an enormous, massive method.
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| 1:09 |
: Do you assume Teel would be the finest prospect traded this winter?
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| 1:09 |
: There was a lot speak of the “Golden AB” a number of weeks again (I hate the concept myself), however what are your ideas on it? I personally need ABS in place and assume MLB can be higher and look very completely different as soon as that is carried out.
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| 1:11 |
: Hate it, feels to far off from a core facet of baseball which is “take your flip”. I’m professional Problem System (it’s going to be an enormous, massive deal and everybody will like it, it’s going to be tremendous enjoyable to be within the stadium when the group roasts a visiting participant for being improper) however not full ABS.
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| 1:12 |
: The change they’re searching for it that. It provides nuance to the sport. Full ABS takes nuance away.
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| 1:14 |
: Does Colorado not making a Rule 5 decide border on malfeasance?
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| 1:16 |
: Eh, I simply peeked at their full 40-man and I suppose one of many relievers on the backside of the roster may have jettisoned to make room for somebody with extra upside. I like Herget, Chicken, and so forth. however including Bastardo who you may 60-day immediately perhaps would have been a superb transfer.
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| 1:17 |
: Ethan Holliday was not nice in the course of the summer time circuit similar to his massive bro, however what are the important thing variations of their swings? The bodily builds and actions are clearly very completely different, however how do their bat paths evaluate?
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| 1:17 |
: Jackson was actually good.
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| 1:17 |
: The ability arrived the next day spring however the contact was at all times there
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| 1:19 |
: Ooop, thanks for this. I’ve gotta run and get notes to Ben on Caleb Durbin, as he’s writing up the commerce. Lemme take a number of fast hearth questions actually rapidly…
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| 1:19 |
: How a lot do you consider the malleability of expertise? For instance, how a lot do you lean on prior means to enhance say, zone contact, even contextualizing inside a corporation? Do you are feeling strongly about some expertise being extra innate than others, outdoors of issues like he’s 6’7 with broad shoulders kind insights?
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| 1:22 |
: Nice query. I are inclined to assume contact is much less malleable and that there are particular guys who merely can not ID offspeed stuff irrespective of how a lot they see it. I don’t assume the latter is common. I feel some purely bodily instruments might be improved by higher mechanical effectivity and a few groups (be it through use of tech or simply scout/coach/dev personnels’ eye for this kind of factor) are higher at figuring out, “hey, that participant might be higher if he moved like this or was positioned like that”
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| 1:23 |
: Do you ever marvel how Kyler Murray could be doing if he dedicated to the A’s in alternate universe?
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| 1:23 |
: Sure, typically.
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| 1:23 |
: Which of those guys turns right into a famous person? Okay. Campbell, Leo Devries, Jesus Made, Sebastian Walcott
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| 1:23 |
: Walcott
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| 1:24 |
: Any data on the Caleb Durbin. Prospect included within the Devin Williams commerce
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| 1:26 |
: Okay, the whole chat is simply Caleb Durbin questions which I feel is an indication that I ought to depart. TBD on chat subsequent week as a result of I’m touring to Philly for a marriage and the vacations. Till then…
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Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and presently lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent 4 years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Information Options and two contributing to prospect protection at ESPN.com. Earlier work will also be discovered at Sports activities On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.
