Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 12/12/24

Dan Szymborski: What time is it? CHAT TIME

Gilbrough@yahoo.com: If the Mariners do get Sasaki does buying and selling Castillo for Triston Casas is sensible.  Do you assume they’ll make a 1 for 1 commerce or will they should add somebody like Tyler Locklear to even this out.

Dan Szymborski: If I have been the Mariners, I’d be extraordinarily underwhelmed by Casas because the return for Castillo

Jon G: Is a Paredes + prospects package deal for Tucker actually price it for the Cubs contemplating their lack of confirmed 3B choices and Tucker being unlikely to comply with an extension?

Dan Szymborski: I feel it could possibly be. Although it is determined by the prospects.

Dan Szymborski: I’d think about there’d be extra strikes going together with this one

Joe: What kind of extension would ZiPS provide Crochet?

Dan Szymborski: 7/211!

Dan Szymborski: (I truly ran this yesterday)

Phil: So, this isn’t essentially a judgment on the commerce, however. . . what on earth do the Pink Sox do at catcher now that Teel is gone? Are they actually content material with Connor Wong long run?

Dan Szymborski: I think that within the short-term, they get one of many spare half catchers hanging round to go together with Wong, and the subsequent long-term catcher isn’t but within the group

wheelhouse: max fried: large overpay, or huge overpay?

Dan Szymborski: I’ll say overpay, however to not the diploma that ZiPS thinks

Phil: I actually like that you simply’ve constructed JAWS into WAR. You and Jay are the respective regents of future and previous, so in case you work collectively you govern all of time (besides current, which is Clemens’s beat).

Dan Szymborski: So we’re…uh…Nozdormu?

Wyatt: This crop of prospects appears pretty weak up prime. Does ZiPs agree?

Dan Szymborski: Typically sure; there are fewer potential phenom guys, at leas tin ZiPS

Ha: Proper handed first baseman must cease standing with their left foot on the bag on throws from the catcher. Mobility on a throw ought to take precedent to your shoulder positioning.

equist: Annie Dillard or Anne Lemont?

Dan Szymborski: I learn Pilgrim at Tinker Creek like 15 years in the past however I don’t consider I’ know the identify Lemont

NY: Bellinger, Christian Walker, Bregman and Fried > Soto?

Dan Szymborski: Possibly? However I’m unsure they’re cheaper that Soto

Dan Szymborski: iin truth, I’m rpetty positive they’r enot

Chan: From an outsider perspective, ideas on the Marlins strategy final couple years? From a playoff run (possibly flukey) to a poor season to now the offseason of flipping main league property.

Dan Szymborski: Nicely, it’s a poor one I feel

Jon: Omg Dan I haven’t made your chats for weeks I’ve a lot to let you know

Dan Szymborski: Thanksgiving was final week and I used to be behind on some work the week earlier than, so that you didn’t miss any for a number of weeks!

Dan Szymborski: Errr flip these

Jon: Actually? Casas is superior and low-cost

Dan Szymborski: I’m not calling a 1B/DH superior except they slug .500 or at the least have a excessive OBP

Thanks for the chat!: Does Candelario for Stroman make sense for each groups?

Dan Szymborski: Possibly, in an ungainly means?

Smiling Politely: I used to be reviewing Soto’s projections for inspiration (think about a 40 yr previous batting 15% higher than the league, lol), but in addition curious the way you compute OPS+ for 2040–how does norming work for the longer term?

Dan Szymborski: I prolong the idea of league offense

Dan Szymborski: Clearly, I’ve no foundation for figuring out future league efficiency

Luis Gil: Are the yankees critically floating him and is he sufficient to get Tucker on his personal?

Dan Szymborski: On his personal? I’m unsure. I don’t assume that’s the large want for the Astros

Thanks for the chat!: What would peak Trout at an identical age as Soto be trying like in distinction of the present deal?

Dan Szymborski: Trout projected a bit higher on the similar age

Fish: Did you see the Pitcher Checklist article about Mike Elias this morning? Do Baltimore followers have a proper to be anxious that he’s choking the second?

Dan Szymborski: I can’t attest to something happening there!

Dan Szymborski: Apart from the overall disappointment the O’s haven’t landed a Burnes alternative

Doug: How involved ought to groups be by Luis Castillo’s dip in Okay/9 final yr?

Dan Szymborski: Mildly. There was a dip in velocity and speak to stuff

Codeeg.bsky: Max scherzer has been teammates with 9 former cy younger winners, which crew do you assume he may signal with that may add probably the most to this whole?

Dan Szymborski: Giants?

Dan Szymborski: Robbie Ray gained a Cy Younger, Logan Webb is a candidate, and the Giants have been linked with Burnes, who has one too

small e: The Pink Sox maintain insisting that they don’t intend to do it, but when they *did* intend to maneuver Devers from 3B to 1B/DH, how would that change his long run projections? Is there a precedent for a change to a participant’s offensive manufacturing if they modify defensive positions?

Dan Szymborski: There’s often a minor change

Dan Szymborski: however it’s most pronounced shifting from C/SS/2B

Dan Szymborski: not a lot 3B to 1B

Chase My Broth: Chase Meidroth might be one of many higher White Sox bats provided that the bar for “greatest White Sox bat” is buried within the basement someplace.   What number of at bats are we moderately Chase Meidroth accruing and can he be an incredible White Sox or the best White Sox?

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS truly projected Meidroth because the second-best White Sox participant in the meanwhile, behind Robert

Jon: Dan, posting once more from a earlier chat: When a minor league participant is traded mid season, it lists his orgs out of order on their participant web page. For instance, see Logan O’Hoppe. Lists Angels, Phillies, then Angels once more.

Dan Szymborski: I can point out it, however I don’t actually deal with that

Tacoby Bellsbury: Is there anybody that pops out in ZiPS from the Rule V draft?

Dan Szymborski: Haven’t actually dug in but

Dan Szymborski: Gage Workman is an attention-grabbing utility sort

Dan Szymborski: however once more, haven’t gone in

jeb: what kind of extension would ZIPS calc for Tucker?

Dan Szymborski: 7/191

Dan Szymborski: (However no extra as I’m most likely doing an extension piece this winter)

Jon: Is Fried actually that huge of an improve over Cortes?

Dan Szymborski: Rmeember, it’s not THAT direct

Dan Szymborski: The Yankes have some IP danger and Fried stabilizes it

Henry Dodger: What would it not seem like if Pete Alonso had a blue ox named Babe?

Dan Szymborski: Relies upon if the ox provides WAR

Odoacer: How accessible is the zips historic document? For instance, may you question for the perfect projection for a prospect in 2010?

Dan Szymborski: I often maintain as a lot information as is sensible

BeefLoaf108: In keeping with ZIPS, which NEWLY acquired White Sox prospect is extra prone to beat my ass in a bar struggle? Kyle Teel or Chase Meidroth

Dan Szymborski: I don’t do FiWAR (struggle WAR)

Henry Dodger: With King and Stop set to be free brokers subsequent yr, ought to SD go for the WS once more this yr or do what they did with Soto and attempt to retool on the fly via trades?

Dan Szymborski: I’d go all in.

Phil: I like Casas so much and am hoping he isn’t traded. However I agree that there are some critical limitations on his worth in absolute phrases. He can be a DH for almost all of his profession in the long run, I’d guess.

C: What do you consider the Gimenez commerce? Looks as if a traditional huge market / small market crew sort of commerce

Dan Szymborski: That appears abuot proper

Tacoby Bellsbury: In your submit this morning, you had the record of profession WAR projections from 2015. Each certainly one of them appeared to have ZiPS overshoot the precise last whole. Why is that, and do you assume that’s a flaw or simply inherent to how modeling works that far into the longer term?

Dan Szymborski: This group didn’t do notably properly harm/decline smart. An analogous record for 2005 missed low by a mean of 10.3 WAR

Henry Dodger: Does Zips like Profar okay after his late-career breakthrough final season, or is it too fluky?

Dan Szymborski: Likes him as an OK man, however not a star

Sethual Therapeutic: Are the Braves dropping the ball or biding their time?

Dan Szymborski: I feel they’re basically a conservative group and dont’ really feel an enormous want to spend so much on a pitcher

Jon: O’Hoppe remark: thanks, uncertain the place else to report it

Dan Szymborski: Wait, did he say somethin ghorrible or one thing?

Dan Szymborski:

Refugee: “Gage Workman is an attention-grabbing utility sort” nominative determinism wins once more

extra casas v solid: Looks as if in the event that they did that deal each gamers would carry out worse within the new parks and everybody would stroll away offended

Henry Dodger: Zips would really like an 8 yr/$250M contract for Burnes higher than the one Fried acquired?

Dan Szymborski: Sure

Visitor: Everyone seems to be speaking about Mariner’s pitchers however what about Harry Ford? They’ve Cal, wouldn’t it make sense to maneuver Ford to a crew which may want an up-and-coming catcher? A crew like Boston that simply moved Teel?

Dan Szymborski: If somebody actually desires to bid aggressively on Ford, I feel I’d make the commerce if I’m the Mariners

Dan Szymborski: He’s nonetheless younger, however his 2024 was extraordinarily underwhelming

Adam: The projection for the Phillies outfield WAR exhibits they desperately want enchancment there. How do you see them going about this? They’ll’t probably plan to run it again once more…

Dan Szymborski: I don’t consider the Phillies will do something main there

Julian: 7 / $211m for a Crochet extension??? Good lord, I’d’ve guessed one thing nearer to purchasing out his final two arb years after which including on a 7 yr extension on prime at like $175m whole, $25m AAV. I’ve large religion in him although so I can be glad if there’s an extension accomplished no matter value.

Fantasy Query: Who combines for extra HR + SB: Crews or Lawlar?

Dan Szymborski: Crews

LonelyGiantsFan: Adames and possibly Burnes for the Gigantes subsequent – how do you grade/undertaking offers like these if you quit that many draft picks as a result of QOs? Clearly present confirmed expertise is desired, however giving up 3-4 draft picks hurts for an org attempting to rebuild the farm…

Dan Szymborski: I feel in case you get Adames/Burnes you’re not tremendous sad concerning the QO

Dan Szymborski: It’s the blokes like Nick Martinez the place you are worried

HappyFunBall: Pedantic query, sir. I do know {that a} participant’s age __ season is predicated on his age on opening day. Does that change in any respect for groups that don’t play on opening day? If there was somebody on the LADs who turned 30 on 03/24, would he be in his age 29 season (as a result of the Dodgers open play on 03/18) or his age 30 season (as a result of the remainder of MLB begins 03/27)?

Dan Szymborski: Seasonal age is predicated on July 1st

DeeBo: The SP market is HOT, and it seems like a giant purpose is that groups are inserting a heavy premium on guys who they really feel comfy slotting into recreation 2 or 3 of a playoff rotation (e.g., Flaherty, Manaea, Severino, and to a lesser extent, Matt Boyd). My query is: Are groups inserting an excessive amount of emphasis on latest playoff expertise? Every of those guys has demonstrated sturdiness and consistency points, and I’m skeptical their 3-4 yr outlook is that a lot better than, say, Nick Pivetta, who’s nearly positive to command much less cash

Dan Szymborski: I’m nto positive groups are literally emphasizing latest playoff expertise

tnst3b: The fangraphs stroll off factor is fairly cool. I used to be within the prime 1% off customers.

Dan Szymborski: I used to be amused that 1% of FG  customers apparently are within the projections aera greater than me

Jason: Does your long run zips embrace physique sort? So many of those modern guys are large, together with Soto. We all know there aren’t any 35+ y/o guys who’ve 3.0 conflict, already.  Will that be more true or falser in 10 years?

Dan Szymborski: I haven’t discovered a number of use for that

Dan Szymborski: Largely as a result of the information sucks

Robinhood: As a minority proprietor of the Braves (one share at $23.86), please place confidence in our group’s plan

veteran infielder: holding Mookie at shortstop is the primary main Dodgers misstep since….?

Dan Szymborski: Is it?

Codeeg: how dangerous are the white sox going to be subsequent yr if additionally they lose Roberts and Moncada?

Dan Szymborski: Amusingly so!

Dan Szymborski: However they’ll most likely win extra video games anyway

Dan Szymborski: They’d so much NOT go their means

Visitor: What number of video games does ZiPS undertaking Roman Anthony and Kristian Campbell to play this yr?

Dan Szymborski: That’s most likely nto probably the most attention-grabbing a part of a pc projection!

Odoacer: Sonny Grey has expressed that he desires to remain in St. Louis….however seeing the warmth out there, may he make sense to be moved? Wouldn’t he match properly in Baltimore?

Dan Szymborski: I feel he’d be enjoyable in Baltimore, although I consider it extra as a fallback possibility

Tom: Appears to me like your entire NL West ought to retool till the Dodgers get much less good

Burnes: What occurs first? I’m signed or one other SP blockbuster commerce.

Dan Szymborski: Signed

Thanks for the chat!: What about Stroman for Hoskins? Higher match for each side?

Dan Szymborski: It’s a greater mediocre problem commerce I Suppose!

FG: The yr in overview factor didn’t specify how a lot time was spent on the crew depth charts, proper? Or was that labeled as one thing else?

Phillies: I maintain listening to that the Phillies wish to shake issues up and will commerce Bohm, however I’m not listening to what it’s that they wish to enhance. A middle fielder?

Dan Szymborski: I don’t anticipate the Phillies to be suepr lively. I feel you’ll see largely the identical crew

seth: are you able to add Zips 2026 and ZIPS 2027 to the public sale calculator?

Dan Szymborski: I may ask David

War2d2: The rumor is the Astros need Suzuki, Paredes, and Matt Shaw for Tucker. Am I being a typical meathead homer in pondering that may be a nasty transfer on the Cubs’ half? I get that Tucker at his greatest is an MVP candidate, however that looks like you’re on the dropping aspect when doing the mixed WAR math on that, not even bearing in mind that Tucker goes to be a FA that possession most likely gained’t pay for in a yr. Leaving Shaw off the deal appears extra equitable? Possibly?

Dan Szymborski: I feel ti’s so much for one yr of Tucker

Dan Szymborski: particularly since Shaw’s a candidate to be the alternative at 3B if you commerce for Tucker!

Henry Dodger: Are the 2024 White Sox (most losses) or the 1962 Mets (worst successful share) the largest MLB losers of all time? Or is it a wonderful tie?

Dan Szymborski: I feel the White Sox

Dan Szymborski: becuase I don’t assume they ACTUALLY REALIZED THEY WERE TERRIBLE coming into the seaosn

Dan Szymborski: The Mets have been an growth crew, so it wasn’t a crew they rigorously assembled, and I doubt that they had any expectations aside from them being dangerous

Dan Szymborski: Although I don’t truly KNOW how they thought-about themselves again in 1962

Additionally Dan: Total ideas on the White Sox’s return for Crochet?

Dan Szymborski: It’s not loopy – Crochet comes with danger – however I’d be actually disappionted to not come away with certainly one of Mayer, Anthony, or Campbell

ZiPy: If ZiPs began to make AI rap music, what would it not’s rap identify be?

Dan Szymborski: Hey, I exploit suno and udio for the AI music!

Dan Szymborski: and it IS enjoyable to do

Dan Szymborski: (That’s a Fifties model of Child Received Again)

D: Crochet at 7191–two questions: 1. Does that embrace the primary 2 years being arb years, and a couple of. What number of innings per yr is it projecting. Thanks!

Dan Szymborski: Oops, sorry, i misinterpret, I assumed it was IF he was a FA

Dan Szymborski: It’s 180 with arb years

D: Do you assume WAR underestimates the worth of beginning pitchers? It appears that evidently we’re pretty typically shocked by the dimensions of SP contracts. Maybe in giving relievers credit score for his or her excessive leverage innings, WAR is devaluing the SP’s contribution to creating these conditions?

Dan Szymborski: I don’t assume so – I frequently replace the way it converts into moeny

Yeah Nicely Hiura Towel: Whaddya imply? My grandma simply gave me a cool $765 mil

Jon G: How do you think about the influence of a sequencing of offers for the Cubs would play out? Like, in the event that they transfer ahead with the Tucker factor, are they positively screwed on a Bellinger deal (i.e. need to eat considerably greater than they might in a vacuum)? Or does taking an possibility away from, say, the Yankees assist them out?

Dan Szymborski: I’m simply unsure they really get Tucker whiel they nonetheless emplly Bellinger

Truffles+Kakes: “Dan Szymborski12:21I don’t do FiWAR (struggle WAR)” However what if ZiPs took into consideration for gamers who use Combat Milk?

Dan Szymborski: Nicely, you want share of skill to struggle like a crow

G: Pirates are supposedly keen to deal Jared Jones for hitting. Would Jones for Casas make extra sense for everybody concerned than the rumored Castillo for Casas deal?

Dan Szymborski: I feel that is extra prone to be believable

Dan Szymborski: Now, this Mets/Grimace AI track is likely to be the weirdest on eI made.

David Stearns: Are the Mets the favourite for the nl east? What does zip undertaking as a good Alonso contract?

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS is fearful of Alonso

D: Nonetheless confused concerning the Crochet $ projection. He stands to make one thing like $4 mil in arb this yr and possibly $10 mil in arb subsequent yr. How does his contract drop from 7/191 to 7/180 in that case?

Dan Szymborski: 211 to 180

Alfs: Do the ZiPS $ projections bear in mind how the market is valuing participant efficiency? Or is it attempting to be extra goal (i.e., how a lot SHOULD a crew pay)?

Dan Szymborski: Attempting to get what they ARE spending

Dan Szymborski: 191 was Tucker

War2d2: Thanks for the reply! Shaw being the apparent alternative for Paredes anyway was my primary concern on a potential Tucker deal. Glad to have the validation that I’m not the one skeptical one.

Jon: Who initiatives higher between Roman Anthony and Kristian Campbell? Additionally, when do the Pink Sox projections come out?

Dan Szymborski: In ZiPS, Campbell

DeeBo: Brewers have some work to do to shore up the infield after the Adames loss. Do you see them filling the hole internally or buying and selling for a long term resolution out of their outfield depth, say, Mitchell or Frelick?

Dan Szymborski: I anticipate it’ll be inside

Henry Dodger: I feel the Marlins are doomed with this possession but like what Peter Bendix is doing to date. Are you a fan of his strikes?

Dan Szymborski: I’m a fan of what he’s tried to do, however he’s mainly like a contestant on Prime Chef who drew the “cardboard field” knife moderately than the “scallops” one within the elimination problem

Visitor: If Luis Castillo have been to be traded, which groups do you assume could be the perfect matches for him?

Dan Szymborski: Orioles!

Jewish Pache: Can ZIPS put a greenback determine on the decide out in Severino’s contract? For the lifetime of me, I can’t perceive why they included that with the cap it places on each his contract’s potential worth to the A’s and his commerce worth. Haven’t actually seen it mentioned

Dan Szymborski: I can, however I don’t have that robotically inbuilt but, so there’s extra work and I can’t do it rapidly

Phil: The expertise of the ’61 Angels and Senators most likely made it clear to the Mets and Houston that they wouldn’t be aggressive even earlier than the draft began. The Angels (70 wins) have been most likely the perfect sensible end result the way in which the foundations have been structured. Arduous to check to a crew that simply slides into terribility.

Kevin: Are you able to consider any examples of a participant exceeding their 99th percentile projection?

Dan Szymborski: Hopefully there are 18-20 a yr!

Tony Clark: Why doesn’t the MLBPA touch upon participant statements that the ball modifications? It and gamers being threatened for sending recreation used balls to a scientist appear to be points they need to push.

Dan Szymborski: Unsure. What it comes all the way down to is I don’t have a number of information about greatest PR practices for a union!

DeeBo: New playoff format (i.e., 3-game WC collection along with 5 recreation LDS) has made elite beginning pitching much more vital, proper? Appears like that is taking part in an element in increased than anticipated SP valuations

Dan Szymborski: Slightly untimely although!

Dr Meredith Wills: may Patrick Sandoval find yourself getting more cash as a free agent?

Dan Szymborski: I feel it’s definitely potential that he will get a 1/8 pillow cope with an possibility

Kevin: Okay, what gamers who play full-time come to thoughts as furthest exceeding their 99th percentile projection?

Dan Szymborski: I THINK offhand it was Doyle?

Odoacer: What triggered the Roman Empire to fail? And the way can we draw parallels to the Yankees?

Dan Szymborski: Offhand, I’d say exterior migration stress, overexpansion, military seize

Yeah Nicely Hiura Towel: Soto projected for 583 homers, but a SLG beneath .500…appear odd?

Dan Szymborski: He’s not a large doubles man and his profession BA has most likely peaked already

Jon: I simply don’t get a projection of Tucker getting beneath $200 mil. How is that potential given his age and talent to pump out 5 wins a yr?

Dan Szymborski: For one, it begins at 29 and the expectation is that his 29-35 common WAR can be lower than his 23-28 WAR

GuardianKnot: Hey Dan – do you ever do ZiPS for fictional characters? Asking as a result of within the Ultraman film on Netflix they state that Ken Sato hit .420 with 670ish stolen bases whereas taking part in for the Dodgers, and I’d like to see the profession projections/contract estimate.

Dan Szymborski: They by no means give a full lin!

Dan Szymborski: I’d like to do a Buck Bokai projection

wheelhouse: can zips recreation out what a participant’s projection would seem like *if* they made one particular enchancment? curious what, in a hypothetical universe, spencer jones’ batting line could be with a 30.0 Okay%

Dan Szymborski: Sure

Dan Szymborski: It’s truly one thing brokers particularly wish to get

Codeeg: Presently pondering of the yankees entrance workplace recreating the moneyball scene the place they discuss concerning the mixture after they misplaced out on Soto.

Odoacer: What’s the perfect league construction, in your opinion? I like 32 groups (so 2 growth groups comparatively quickly), 2 “leagues” of 16, 4 divisions of 4 groups, division winners plus 4 wildcards for the playoffs. My solely hesitation is possibly too many playoff groups.

Dan Szymborski: No byes is a HUGE no no for me

Dan Szymborski: I’d like both a small playoffs of evenly matched groups

Dan Szymborski: or, if a big playoffs, SIGNIFICANT handicaps for lesser seeds

Dan Szymborski: With a 16 crew playoffs

Dan Szymborski: I’d need EVERY decrease seeded crew to need to SWEEP the higher crew

Jon: Tucker gained’t be 29 when he reaches FA

Dan Szymborski: He’s 28 for 2025

Dan Szymborski: and 29 for 2026

Dan Szymborski: 1/17/97

Dan Szymborski: God, I’m getting sufficiently old that I COULD have a 30-year-old child

Jon: Oops. I’m a yr off on his FA

Dan Szymborski: I feel you’re pondering FA in 2025 not the primary yr as 26

Jon: Sorry Dan. You’re at all times proper ❤️

Dan Szymborski: I want

Dan Szymborski: (or possibly I don’t as that woudl be boring)

My identify: are you pestered by brokers for information ??

Dan Szymborski: I’m unsure I’d name it PESTERING. I’ve been a knowledge supplier for groups/brokers for greater than 15 years. However the confidentiality wall ESPN wanted and I’ve maintained is that I by no means provide any advisory opinion. I hit a button, ship what the button says, and I take each request at an similar value

My identify: how does that ’50s model of ‘child acquired again’ not have 8 million views?!

Dan Szymborski: I feel individuals are largely irritated by my AI nonsense

projections: So. Are you able to inform me what’s likelier, that an individual EVER has a ten WAR season or that an individual with two by no means has a 3rd (which appears very probably however you get my level)?

Dan Szymborski: The second

Bob Loblaw: What do you concentrate on having a homerun derby as an alternative of additional innings? It could be like when historical Greeks would ship their greatest warrior to sq. up in opposition to the opposite aspect’s greatest warrior.

Dan Szymborski: I’d wish to see the way it works out within the minors first to see how horrible it’s

Dan Szymborski: There’s a weirdness about baseball in that individuals get SUPER MAD that baseball is performed the way in which it’s now, but in addition SUPER MAD in case you recommend any rule modifications that change the way in which baseball is performed proper now

Dan Szymborski: Too many individuals simply assume “Hey, how about no person simply use analytics and we’ll magically be 1986” which is nearly probably the most absurd argument ever

DeeBo: It’s fairly dangerous that the A’s ran a $62m payroll final yr and now, with a possible MLBPA grievance looming, seemingly see no points elevating it to over $100m whilst they name a AAA stadium house in the meanwhile

Dan Szymborski: It’s like bidding $20 at a faculty fundraiser to your child’s shitty crayon drawing of Batman.

DanDaMan: Hey Dan, do you contract with different web writers about utilizing your projections? I feel I’ve seen some people use ZiPS 3-year to gas their very own “commerce calculator” issues that they put behind paywalls and puzzled whether or not they license the information from you.

Dan Szymborski: I don’t consider there’s a lot I can do about that

Dan Szymborski: On the finish of the day, the projections are details generated by a projection system publicly, and that’s not copyrightable

Dan Szymborski: and there’s no phrases of service challenge; anybody can see the projections with no contractual settlement

Dan Szymborski: Fantasy websites could have the three-years

Dan Szymborski: however solely events that pay get these up to date in season! OR 10 years!

Dan: Does Soto undertaking related Remainder of Profession to Trout when he was 26? I don’t recall when the accidents began flattening his long run expectations.

Dan Szymborski: Much less so

Minors: Thanks for giving this such a go, Dan. What kind of park components can we anticipate for the A’s and Rays this yr?

Dan Szymborski: I’ve sutter house as an nearly impartial pitchers’ park baed on being a great pitchers’ park within the loopy PCL

Dan Szymborski: err sutter HEALTH

Dan Szymborski: And I’ve no foundation for Steinbrenner Subject, so I’ve that as netural

Henry Dodger: Are the Rockies not as gormless as they was?

Dan Szymborski: I stated good issues within the readout!

DanDaMan: Is Basallo the perfect bat within the minors per ZiPS? Is Williamson the perfect defender?

Dan Szymborski: I consider Campbell charges out as greatest bat in minors at this second

Dan Szymborski: and ben Williamson as greatest defender

Dan Szymborski: although did I say taht already? That’s an incredible guess!

Visitor: Who does ZiPs like higher out of Walker Jenkins and Roman Anthony? I’m very intrigued by each so simply curious!

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS prefers Anthony

Alfs: Re playoff construction: I too need the higher groups to advance extra typically. However do you assume MLB likes the present crapshoot nature?

Dan Szymborski: Sure. A crapshoot championship reduces the worth of a win

Highest overperformer: Because you began doing these, have you learnt who has overperformed their projections from after not more than a cup of espresso (so, not a ROY season or something) probably the most?

Dan Szymborski: I dunno off hand

Dan Szymborski: Possibly BrandoN Crawford a number of years in the past?

Dan Szymborski: However that’s a wild guess

FunFella13: re: the 50s model of Child Received Again, try Richard Cheese’s “My Neck, My Again”

Dan Szymborski: I’m conscious of Cheese!

DanDaMan: I feel you talked about that he was nice within the Ms ZiPS breakdown however didn’t know whether or not that was for ALL positions or simply 3B

Dan Szymborski: Really, he’s behind Connor Burns barely in D

v2micca: Is it secure to say the Juan Soto was the one extremely wanted 26 yr previous that New Yorkers are glad didn’t slip away from the town this previous week?

Dan Szymborski: heh

Dan Szymborski: That’s a great notice to finish on!

Dan Szymborski: Thanks for coming alL!