Brady Kannon
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Welcome to our weekly PGA Tour gambling-tips column, that includes picks from GOLF.com’s professional prognosticator Brady Kannon. A seasoned golf bettor and commentator, Kannon is an everyday visitor on SportsGrid, a syndicated audio community dedicated to sports activities and sport betting. You may comply with on Twitter at @LasVegasGolfer, and you’ll learn his picks beneath for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, which will get underway Thursday in Bermuda. Together with Kannon’s beneficial performs, you’ll additionally see information from Chirp Golf, a cell app that options each Free-To-Play and Each day Fantasy golf contests the place you possibly can win money and prizes with every spherical and match.
From Chiba, Japan, to Los Cabos, Mexico, to Southampton, Bermuda, the PGA Tour hasn’t set foot within the mainland since leaving Las Vegas almost a month in the past.
In case you have been globetrotting together with the Tour these days, it should make for over 10,000 miles traveled when the gamers contact down in St. Simons Island, Georgia subsequent week for the ultimate cease of the FedEx Cup Fall on the RSM Basic.
However earlier than we flip again for dwelling, we’re off the southeast coast by roughly 1,000 miles this week for the sixth version of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Course. Forty-two-year-old Camilo Villegas is your defending champion. Since profitable right here final 12 months, Villegas has missed 18 cuts on Tour in 2024. On the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, famend golf oddsmaker Jeff Sherman is itemizing Villegas at 400-1 to repeat because the Bermuda champ.
Villegas acquired to the winner’s circle final season with a profitable rating of 24 underneath par. There may be fairly a little bit of wind within the forecast for this 12 months’s occasion and on the SuperBook, Sherman has this 12 months’s profitable rating Underneath/Over proposition guess at 13.5 underneath par.
For me, this may put ball putting and scrambling at a premium. The wind will eat up photographs that aren’t struck correctly and for these photographs that don’t discover the greens due to the wind, scrambling to rise up and down shall be paramount. The golf course is very brief by Tour requirements, a par 71 at only a tick over 6,800 yards. The fairways are comparatively slender however there’s not quite a lot of tough to talk of. The greens are above common in dimension and do have a good quantity of undulation. The course options some elevation change, seven holes with water in play, and the turf is, appropriately, wall-to-wall Bermudagrass.
I checked out Scrambling this week, as I famous earlier. So far as ball putting, I thought of Greens In Regulation Gained, Good Drives Gained, and Stokes Gained: Method. There are 11 Par 4s at Port Royal, six of which measure between 350-400 yards and 5 that fall between 400-450 yards. I additionally checked out Strokes Gained: Placing (Bermudagrass).
With Port Royal being a shorter, narrower, coastal monitor, I used Waialae (Sony Open), Sea Island (RSM Basic), Colonial (Charles Schwab Problem), and Pebble Seaside as my correlated programs this week.
We almost acquired there with an 85-1 shot in Carson Younger final week in Los Cabos. Let’s see if a shift to the shores of the Atlantic will change our luck for the higher.
Mackenzie Hughes (18-1)
We’re going to start with the chalk as Hughes is considered one of a handful of favorites this week in Bermuda. It does concern me that he hasn’t ever performed this occasion beforehand, however there isn’t a doubt he’s one of many classier gamers on this subject and he’s completed higher than simply about anybody on the correlated programs. He’s completed high 20 on the Sony Open, high 10 at Pebble Seaside and Colonial, and on the RSM Basic, Hughes has a win together with two runner-up finishes. He’s performed twice throughout this FedEx Cup Fall, taking fourth in Napa on the Procore Championship and was eighth in his very subsequent begin on the Sanderson Farms Championship. During the last 36 rounds, Hughes is fourth on this subject for SG: Placing (Bermudagrass), second in Scrambling, and ranks fifth on the Par 4s of 400-450 yards.
Andrew Novak (31-1)
Novak has had a stable 2024 and simply this summer season, tallied three top-25 finishes together with a high 10. He added one other top-25 end this fall on the Sanderson Farms Championship and was sixteenth on the Zozo Championship just some weeks in the past. He’s performed this match thrice and has completed as excessive as seventeenth. Ball putting is the deal right here with Novak. He’s tenth on this subject for GIR Gained, seventeenth for SG: Method, and ranks ninth for Good Drives Gained over the past 36 rounds.
Nick Taylor (45-1)
Like fellow Canadian, Mackenzie Hughes, Taylor is among the higher gamers on this subject — and in addition like Hughes, he has a win (Pebble Seaside) at considered one of our correlated programs. Along with profitable at Pebble in 2020, Taylor has additionally completed tenth, 14th, and twentieth alongside the Monterey peninsula. He additionally has two seventh place finishes and an eleventh on the Sony Open at Waialae. His finest end right here in Bermuda is twenty third in two tries. During the last 36-rounds, Taylor ranks twenty first on this subject for Good Drives Gained and is twenty sixth in Scrambling. Earlier this 12 months, when he received the WM Phoenix Open, at TPC Scottsdale, a traditional ball-striking course with Bermudagrass greens, Taylor ranked ninth that week for SG: Method, second in GIR, twenty second for Driving Accuracy, first in Scrambling, and first in SG: Placing.
Greyson Sigg (50-1)
Sigg has been each enjoying very nicely as of late and has a wonderful historical past at this championship together with the correlated programs. He is available in having completed 4-11-23 in three of his final 4 begins this fall. He’s been eleventh and twenty second right here in Bermuda in two visits. He’s by no means missed a lower on the Sony Open in three tries and has completed eighth and fifteenth on the RSM Basic. As an beginner, Sigg received and completed runner-up in 2015 and 2016 respectively, on the Carmel Cup at Pebble Seaside Golf Hyperlinks. The person checks lots of bins for us this week. During the last 36 rounds, Sigg ranks fourth on this subject for GIR Gained, thirtieth in SG: Method, second in Good Drives Gained, and is 18th on the 400-450 yard Par 4’s.
Nate Lashley (85-1)
Lashley has performed in each occasion to date throughout this fall swing and he’s made 5 cuts in a row. He performed right here in Bermuda two seasons in the past and completed thirty fifth. He’s completed seventh on the Sony Open and fifth at Pebble Seaside, and has made 4 of six cuts on the RSM Basic. Lashley appears to make a dwelling at these watered-down subject occasions at coastal areas. He’s completed eleventh on the Mexico Open at Vidanta, tenth on the World Large Know-how in Los Cabos, fourth and fifteenth at Corales Puntacana, and he’s gone 3-7-8 in Puerto Rico. During the last 36 rounds, Lashley ranks thirty seventh on this subject for SG: Method, thirty fourth for Good Drives Gained, and is tenth in Scrambling.
Who Chirp Golf gamers are choosing this week
This data shall be up to date as quickly because it’s obtainable.